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Case Studies
Case Studies

Case Studies (332)

Monday, 21 November 2011 08:05

Wismar Bay, Baltic Sea

Written by Johanna

Wismar Bay, Baltic Sea

Main Contributors:

Johanna Yletyinen

Other Contributors:

Summary

The Bay of Wismar is located in the southwestern Baltic Sea. Episodic hypoxia has caused stress for fish and mortality in benthic fauna, but the area has been recolonized annually. It has been estimated that the Wismar Bay hypoxia, which is linked to eutrophication, began in the 1980s.

Type of regime shift

Ecosystem type

  • Marine & coastal

Land uses

  • Fisheries

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Local/landscape (e.g. lake, catchment, community)

Continent or Ocean

  • Europe

Region

  • The Baltic Sea

Countries

  • Denmark
  • Germany

Locate with Google Map

Key References

  1. Prena J. 1995. Effects of eutrophication on macrobenthos zonation in Wismar Bay (Western Baltic Sea). Archiv für Hydrobiologie 133, 245-257.

Citation

Johanna Yletyinen. Wismar Bay, Baltic Sea. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2011-12-19 16:45:02 GMT.
Thursday, 11 August 2011 13:47

Baltic Sea - eutrophication

Written by Johanna

Baltic Sea - eutrophication

Main Contributors:

Johanna Yletyinen

Other Contributors:

Thorsten Blenckner, Garry Peterson

Summary

The North European Baltic Sea, an enclosed ocean basin is connected to the North Sea by a shallow opening. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea makes the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations. An increase in anthropogenic nutrient load from the runoff of agricultural waste, industry, and municipal sewage, as well as atmospheric depositions such as fossil fuels, has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. This has changed the Baltic Sea from a oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. Characteristics of this new regime shift includes increased sedimentation and turbidity, and reduced transparency in water with increased algal mats. Eutrophication has changed the functioning of the Baltic Sea ecosystem, decreased the provisioning fisheries services and consequently human use of the ecosystem services. 

 

 

Type of regime shift

Ecosystem type

  • Marine & coastal

Land uses

  • Fisheries

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Sub-continental/regional (e.g. southern Africa, Amazon basin)

Continent or Ocean

  • Europe

Region

  • Northern Europe

Countries

  • Lithuania
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Sweden
  • Denmark
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • Germany
  • Latvia

Locate with Google Map

Drivers

Key direct drivers

  • External inputs (eg fertilizers)

Land use

  • Urban
  • Small-scale subsistence crop cultivation
  • Large-scale commercial crop cultivation
  • Intensive livestock production (eg feedlots)
  • Extensive livestock production (rangelands)
  • Fisheries

Impacts

Key Ecosystem Processes

  • Primary production
  • Nutrient cycling

Biodiversity

  • Biodiversity

Provisioning services

  • Fisheries

Regulating services

  • Water purification

Cultural services

  • Recreation
  • Aesthetic values

Human Well-being

  • Food and nutrition
  • Health (eg toxins, disease)
  • Livelihoods and economic activity
  • Cultural, aesthetic and recreational values

Key Attributes

Spatial scale of RS

  • Sub-continental/regional

Time scale of RS

  • Decades
  • Centuries

Reversibility

  • Irreversible (on 100 year time scale)

Evidence

  • Models
  • Contemporary observations
  • Experiments
  • Other

Confidence: Existence of RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement in the literature that the RS exists

Confidence: Mechanism underlying RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement on the underlying mechanism

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Folke C, Hammer M, Jansson Ann-Mari. 1991. Life-support value of ecosystems: a case study of the Baltic Sea region. Ecological Economics 3, 123-137.
  2. Helsinki Commission, 2009. HELCOM Baltic Sea Action Plan. (Online) http://www.helcom.fi/BSAP/en_GB/intro/ (Last update 2.11.2009)(Last accessed 11.8.2011.)
  3. Helsinki Commission. 2006. Eutrophication in the Baltic Sea. Draft HELCOM Thematic Assessment in 2006. http://helcom.navigo.fi/stc/files/BSAP/FINAL Eutrophication.pdf (Last accessed 11.8.2011)
  4. Rönnberg C, Bonsdorff E. 2004. Baltic Sea eutrophication: area-specific ecological consequences. Hydrobiologia 514, 227-241.
  5. Vahtera E, Conley DJ, Gustafsson BG, Kuosa H, Pitkänen H, Savchuk OP, Tamminen T, Viitasalo M, Voss M, Wasmund N, Wulff F. 2007. Internal ecosystem feedbacks enhance nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria blooms and complicate management in the Baltic Sea. Ambio 36: 180-188.
  6. Voss M, Dippner JW, Humborg C, Hürdler J, Korth F, Neumann T, Schernewski G, Venohr M. 2011. History and scenarios of future development of Baltic Sea eutrophication. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 92, 307-322.
  7. Wulff F, Savchuk OP, Sokolov A, Humborg C, Mörth CM. 2007. Management options and effects on a marine ecosystem - Assessing the future of the Baltic. Ambio 36, 2/3.

Citation

Johanna Yletyinen, Thorsten Blenckner, Garry Peterson. Baltic Sea - eutrophication. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2017-02-07 11:58:04 GMT.
Thursday, 12 May 2011 12:35

Baltic Sea - pelagic food web

Written by Johanna

Baltic Sea - pelagic food web

Main Contributors:

Henrik Österblom, Johanna Yletyinen

Other Contributors:

Jonas Hentati-Sundberg, Thorsten Blenckner

Summary

The Baltic Sea is a semi-enclosed, brackish sea located in Northern Europe. The regime shift described for the Central Baltic Sea involves a drastic change from a cod- to a sprat-dominated ecosystem in a marine food web. Through the biomass decrease of a high trophic level, a commercially high valued and favored table fish was replaced by a low trophic level and low commercial value fish. The prerequisite for the change in the system was most probably loss of resilience, which was caused by poor cod recruitment conditions and too high fishing pressure. Anthropogenic eutrophication and infrequent inflows of saline water from the North Sea contributed to the changed deep water conditions in the Central Baltic, resulting in anoxia and low salinity lowering the cod reproduction rates. Since cod (Gadus morhua) is the main predator of sprat (Sprattus sprattus), the cod decrease caused a trophic cascade as the sprat stock dramatically increased. 

Type of regime shift

  • Unknown

Ecosystem type

  • Marine & coastal

Land uses

  • Fisheries

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Sub-continental/regional (e.g. southern Africa, Amazon basin)

Continent or Ocean

  • Europe

Region

  • Northern Europe

Countries

  • Lithuania
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Sweden
  • Denmark
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • Germany
  • Latvia

Locate with Google Map

Drivers

Key direct drivers

  • External inputs (eg fertilizers)

Land use

  • Urban
  • Small-scale subsistence crop cultivation
  • Large-scale commercial crop cultivation
  • Intensive livestock production (eg feedlots)
  • Extensive livestock production (rangelands)
  • Fisheries

Impacts

Key Ecosystem Processes

  • Primary production
  • Nutrient cycling

Biodiversity

  • Biodiversity

Provisioning services

  • Fisheries

Regulating services

  • Water purification

Cultural services

  • Recreation
  • Aesthetic values

Human Well-being

  • Food and nutrition
  • Health (eg toxins, disease)
  • Livelihoods and economic activity
  • Cultural, aesthetic and recreational values

Key Attributes

Spatial scale of RS

  • Sub-continental/regional

Time scale of RS

  • Decades
  • Centuries

Reversibility

  • Irreversible (on 100 year time scale)

Evidence

  • Models
  • Contemporary observations
  • Experiments
  • Other

Confidence: Existence of RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement in the literature that the RS exists

Confidence: Mechanism underlying RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement on the underlying mechanism

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Alheit J, Möllman C, Dutz J, Kornilovs G, Loewe P, Mohrholz V, Wasmund N. 2005. Synchronous ecological regime shifts in the Central Baltic and the North Sea in the late 1980s. ICES Journal of Marine Sciences 62, 1205-1215.
  2. Aps R, Lassen H. 2010. Recovery of depleted Baltic Sea fish stocks: a review. ICES Journal of Marine Science 67, 1856–1860.
  3. Cardinale, M, Svedäng H. 2011. The beauty of simplicity in science: Baltic cod stock improves rapidly in a "cod hostile" ecosystem state. Marine Ecology Progress Series 425, 297-301.
  4. Casini M, Hjelm J, Molinero JC, Lovgren J et al. 2009. Trophic cascades promote threshold-like shifts in pelagic marine ecosystems. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 106, 197–202.
  5. Casini M, Lovgren J, Hjelm J, Cardinale M, Molinero JC, Kornilovs G. 2008. Multi-level Trophic Cascades in a Heavily Expoited Open Marine Ecosystem. Proc R Soc B Biol Sci 275, 1793-1801
  6. Döring R, Egelkraut TM. 2007. Investing in natural capital as management strategy in fisheries: the case of the Baltic Sea cod fishery. Ecological Economics 64, 634-642.
  7. Hanninen J, Vourinen I, Hjelt P. 2000. Climatic factors in the Atlantic control of the oceanographic and ecological changes in the Baltic Sea. Limnology and Oceanography 45, 703-710.
  8. Heikinheimo, O. 2011. Interactions Between Cod, Herring and Sprat in The Changing Environment of The Baltic Sea: A Dynamic Model Analysis. Ecological Modeling 222, 1731 – 1742.
  9. Lindegren M, Diekmann R, Möllmann C. 2010. Regime Shifts, resilience and recovery of a cod stock. Marine Ecology Progress Series 402, 249 – 253.
  10. Möllmann C, Diekmann R, Müller-Karulis B, Kornilovs G, Plikshs M, Axe P. 2009. Reorganization of a large marine ecosystem due to atmospheric and anthropogenic pressure: a discontinuous regime shift in the Central Baltic Sea. Glob Change Biol 15, 1377–1393.
  11. Möllmann C, Müller-Karulis B, Kornilovs G, St. John MA. 2008. Effects of climate and overfishing on zooplankton dynamics and ecosystem structure: regime shifts, trophic cascade, and feedback loops in a simple ecosystem. ICES J Mar Sci 65, 302–310.
  12. Österblom H, Gårdmark A, Bergström L, Müller-Karulis B et al. 2010. Making the ecosystem approach operational: can regime shifts in ecological and governance systems facilitate the transition? Mar Pol 34, 1290–1299.
  13. Waldo S, Paulrud A, Jonsson A. 2010. A note on the economics of Swedish Baltic Sea fisheries. Marine Policy 34, 716-719.

Citation

Henrik Österblom, Johanna Yletyinen, Jonas Hentati-Sundberg, Thorsten Blenckner. Baltic Sea - pelagic food web. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2012-03-19 12:58:03 GMT.
Thursday, 03 March 2011 12:39

Makanya catchment, Tanzania

Written by Johnny Musumbu

Makanya catchment, Tanzania

Main Contributors:

Johnny Musumbu Tshimpanga

Other Contributors:

Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs

Summary

The Makanya agro-ecological system as most of smallholder agro-ecosystems in dry-land environments has been conceptualised as a system that exhibits two alternative stability basins of attractions referred to respectively as productive and degraded regimes. The productive domains resulted from a distinctive kind of management both at field and landscape levels that involved extended fallow periods practices aimed at naturally regenerating soils fertility coupled with strong laws local together with rules and norms for natural resources management . Consequently, the system developed along a trajectory where plentiful and easily accessible of on- as well as off-farm provisioning ecosystem services was generated to support a relatively low population living in the system over time. Early 1980s, the agro-ecosystem underwent dramatic changes that happened concomitantly and pushed the system into the degraded regime. These changes encompass increasing dry-spell frequencies, rapid institutional changes, and population growth that triggered a spiral of mutually enforcing feedbacks, involving increased cropping intensity, cultivation of more marginal lands, yields declines, soil fertility decline and loss of provisioning ecosystem services generated by the catchment. That situation has inexorably set the system on a development path where food and other ecosystem services are not generated fast enough to support local population over time. As a result, local populations appear to be caught into a persistent poverty conditions referred to as poverty traps. There is, however, a window of opportunity which is conducive to sustainably dealing with these highly complex challenges. These include a mix of small water system technologies that bear high prospects for stabilising even increasing agro-ecological productivity, and efficient and enforceable institutional mechanisms that guarantee a successful resource base management.

Type of regime shift

  • Bio-productivity shift in dry-land agro-ecosystems

Ecosystem type

  • Drylands & deserts (below ~500mm rainfall/year)

Land uses

  • Small-scale subsistence crop cultivation

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Local/landscape (e.g. lake, catchment, community)

Continent or Ocean

  • Africa

Region

  • Eastern Africa

Countries

  • Tanzania

Locate with Google Map

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Coulson A. 1982. Tanzania: A Political Economy. Oxford University Press: Oxford.
  2. Enfors I, Gordon L. 2007. Analysing Resilience In Dryland Agro-Ecosystems: A case study of the Makanya Catchment In Tanzania Over The Past 50 Years. Land Degrad. Develop. 18: 680-696 (2007).
  3. Enfors, I. 2009. Traps andTransformations: Exploring the potential of Water System Innovations in Dry-land sub-Saharan Africa. Doctoral thesis in natural resource management. ISBN 978-91-7155-863-3 pp. 1-56, US-AB, Stockholm
  4. Kikula I. 1998. Policy Implications on the environment: The Case of villagization in Tanzania. Nordiska Afrikainstitutet: Uppsala
  5. Kimambo IN. 1996. Environmental control and hunger in the mountains and plains of nineteenth-century north-eastern Tanzania. In custodians of the land :Ecology and culture in the history of Tanzania, Maddox G, Giblin J, Kimambo I (eds). James Currey: London.
  6. Koning N, Smaling E. 2005. Environmental crisis or ‘lie of the hand’? The debate on soil degradation in Africa. Land Use Policy 22: 3-11.
  7. Koponen J. 1996. Population: A dependent variable. In Custodians of the land: Ecology and culture in the history of Tanzania, Maddox G, Giblin J, Kimambo I (eds). James Currey: London
  8. Liu, FM.,Y. Q. Wu, H.L. Xiao, and Q.Z. Gao. 2005. Rainwater harvesting agriculture and water-use efficiency in semi-arid regions in Gansu province, China. Outlook on agriculture 34:159-165
  9. Makurika, H., H. H. G. Savenije, S. Uhlenbrook, J. Rockstorm, and A. Senzanje. 2009. Investigating the water balance of on-farm techniques for improved crop productivity in rainfed -systems: A case study of the Makanya catchment, Tanzania. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 34:93-98
  10. Makurika, H., H. H. G. Savenije, S. Uhlenbrook, J. Rocstrom, and A. Senzanje. 2007b. Towards a better understanding of water partitioning processes for improved smallholder rainfed -agricultural systems: A case study of the Makanya catchment, Tanzania. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 32:1082-1089
  11. Mazvimavi, K. And S. Twomlow. In Press. Socioeconomic and institutional factors influencing adoption of conservation farming by vulnerable households in Zimbabwe Agricultural systems In press-corrected proof
  12. Rockström , J. 2003. Resilience building and water demand management for drought mitigation. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 28: 869-877
  13. Rockström, J. 2003b. Water for food and nature in drought-prone tropics: vapour shift in rain-fed agriculture. Philosophical Transitions of the Royal Society of London 358: 1997-2009
  14. Rockström, J., P. Kaumbuto, J. Mwalley, A. W. Nzabi, M. Temesgen, L. Mawenya, J. Barron, J. Mutua, and S. Damgaard-Larsen. 2009. Conservation Farming Strategies in East and Southern Africa: Yields and Rain Water Productivity from On-Farm Action Research. Soil and Tillage Research 103: 23-32
  15. Rocström, J., J. Barron, and P. Fox. 2002. Rainwater management for increased productivity among small-holder farmers in drought-prone environments. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 27: 949-959
  16. Shao J. 1986. The villagization program and the disruption of the ecological balance in Tanzania. Canadian Journal of African Studies-Revue Canadienne des Etudes Africaines
  17. UNEP/SEI. 2009. Rainwater harvesting: a lifeline for human well-being. UNEP, Nairobi
  18. Vohland, K. and B. Barry. 2009. A review of in situ rainwater harvesting ( RWH ) practices modifying landscape functions in African drylands. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 131:119-127.

Citation

Johnny Musumbu Tshimpanga, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs. Makanya catchment, Tanzania. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2011-12-19 16:44:09 GMT.
Monday, 28 February 2011 20:39

Aldabra atoll, Seychelles

Written by Albert

Aldabra atoll, Seychelles

Main Contributors:

Albert Norström

Other Contributors:

Summary

The Aldabra atoll in the southern Seychelles has undergone a shift from scleractinian to softcoral dominance. Following mass-bleaching in 1997-1998, the Aldabra reef suffered large-scale mortality, as did most shallow reef communities in the western Indian Ocean. Prior to the mass-bleaching event of 1998, soft corals comprised only 3 % of the reef. Annual monitoring of the Aldabra atoll reefs since 1998 indicate no signs of recovery of hard corals. The only organism group that has been exhibiting significant changes in abundance are soft corals. Soft corals become the dominant benthic category (28 % cover) in the shallow coral communities by 2004. An interesting aspect of this regime shift is that Aldabra atoll has escaped most direct human impacts, due to its isolated geographic position and its status as a UNESCO world heritage site.

Type of regime shift

Ecosystem type

  • Marine & coastal

Land uses

  • Conservation

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Local/landscape (e.g. lake, catchment, community)

Continent or Ocean

  • Indian Ocean

Region

  • Indian Ocean

Countries

  • Seychelles

Locate with Google Map

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Norström AV, Nyström M, Lokrantz J, Folke C. 2009. Alternative states on coral reefs: beyond coral-macroalgal phase shifts. Marine Ecology-Progress Series 376, 295-306
  2. Stobart B, Teleki K, Buckley R, Downing N, Callow M. 2005. Coral recovery at Aldabra Atoll, Seychelles: five years after the 1998 bleaching event. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 363, 251-255

Citation

Albert Norström. Aldabra atoll, Seychelles. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2011-03-03 10:12:00 GMT.
Monday, 28 February 2011 20:08

Jamaican coral reefs

Written by Albert

Jamaican coral reefs

Main Contributors:

Albert Norström

Other Contributors:

Summary

The archetypical example of a coral reef regime shift is the dramatic transition from coral dominance (52% coral cover, 4% algal cover) to macroalgal dominance (2% coral cover, 92% algal cover) which occurred on Jamaican reefs in the 1980s as a result of the synergistic impacts of overfishing, hurricane damage and disease. Similar examples of coral-macroalgae shifts have been observed across the Caribbean region, throughout the Eastern-Pacific, Indian Ocean and on the Great Barrier Reef.

Type of regime shift

Ecosystem type

  • Marine & coastal

Land uses

  • Large-scale commercial crop cultivation
  • Fisheries
  • Mining
  • Tourism

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Local/landscape (e.g. lake, catchment, community)

Continent or Ocean

  • North America

Region

  • Caribbean

Countries

  • Jamaica

Locate with Google Map

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Hughes TP. 1994. Catastrophes, phase-shifts, and large-scale degradation of a Caribbean coral reef. Science 265, 1547-1551.

Citation

Albert Norström. Jamaican coral reefs. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2011-03-03 10:08:25 GMT.
Saturday, 26 February 2011 11:15

Lake Mendota, Wisconsin, USA

Written by Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs

Lake Mendota, Wisconsin, USA

Main Contributors:

Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs

Other Contributors:

Summary

Lake Mendota is located in south central Wisconsin in the Upper Rock Watershed. It has been called the most studied lake in the world and has been studied since the 1880’s. Cyanobacterial blooms have been reported on Lake Mendota as early as 1976 with a very severe bloom in the spring of 1990. Many efforts have been made to reduce the frequency of harmful algal blooms on Lake Mendota.

Type of regime shift

Ecosystem type

  • Freshwater lakes & rivers

Land uses

  • Urban
  • Large-scale commercial crop cultivation

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Local/landscape (e.g. lake, catchment, community)

Continent or Ocean

  • North America

Region

  • Wisconsin

Countries

  • United States

Locate with Google Map

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Carpenter SR, et al. 2006. Understanding regional change: comparison of two lake districts. BioScience
  2. Carpenter SR, Lathrop RC, Nowak P, Bennett EM, Reed T, Soranno PA. 2006b. The ongoing experiment: Restoration of Lake Mendota and its watershed. In Magnuson JJ, Kratz TK, Benson BJ, eds. Long-term dynamics of lakes in the landscape: Long-term ecological research on north temperate lakes. Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
  3. Carpenter SR. 2003. Regime shifts in lake ecosystems: pattern and variation. Oldendorf/Luhe, Germany: International Ecology Institute.
  4. http://lakemendota.uwcfl.org/lake-mendota/

Citation

Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs. Lake Mendota, Wisconsin, USA. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2012-03-17 19:16:32 GMT.
Friday, 25 February 2011 09:45

Balinese rice production

Written by Daniel

Balinese rice production

Main Contributors:

Caroline Schill, Ylva Ran, Daniel Ospina

Other Contributors:

Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, -1

Summary

As described by Lansing (1991 and others) for roughly a thousand years, rice farming in southern Bali (Indonesia) has operated through a religious and water-irrigation institutional arrangement of Subaks and Water Temples, which coordinate water use and generate landscape-level pest control. During the 1970s, the Indonesian government decided to carry-out a Green Revolution to face the challenge of an increasing internal population demanding more food. Several changes at different levels where introduced: high-yielding varieties of rice were distributed among the farmers, together with a tech-package of pesticides and fertilizers; and the water temples were restricted from regulating water distribution. After a couple of decades of successful increase in production, problems regarding water distribution and pest outbreaks, lead to the recognition of the functional role of Subaks and Water Temples in managing these two factors, so the Indonesian government withdrew the restriction. However, an important percentage of farmers decided to continue using the high-yielding rice varieties, together with pesticides and fertilizers. Given that this agricultural tech-package costs money, the ‘rice production – cash income’ feedback gained strength over ‘rice production – subsistence’, which dominated before the Green Revolution, and was sustained by a variety of agricultural practices that articulated in a more complex form. Cultural and economic dimensions of globalization set the context for this shift, with an increasing importance of money in mediating local social relations, and a slow change in world-views, beliefs and values. Possible negative effects of this farm-level shift in agricultural practices are a fast degradation of soil quality and an increased input of phosphorus to the sea by runoff.

Type of regime shift

  • Unknown

Ecosystem type

  • Tropical Forests

Land uses

  • Small-scale subsistence crop cultivation
  • Tourism

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Local/landscape (e.g. lake, catchment, community)

Continent or Ocean

  • Indian Ocean

Region

  • Southern Bali

Countries

  • Indonesia

Locate with Google Map

Drivers

Key direct drivers

  • External inputs (eg fertilizers)

Land use

  • Urban
  • Small-scale subsistence crop cultivation
  • Large-scale commercial crop cultivation
  • Intensive livestock production (eg feedlots)
  • Extensive livestock production (rangelands)
  • Fisheries

Impacts

Key Ecosystem Processes

  • Primary production
  • Nutrient cycling

Biodiversity

  • Biodiversity

Provisioning services

  • Fisheries

Regulating services

  • Water purification

Cultural services

  • Recreation
  • Aesthetic values

Human Well-being

  • Food and nutrition
  • Health (eg toxins, disease)
  • Livelihoods and economic activity
  • Cultural, aesthetic and recreational values

Key Attributes

Spatial scale of RS

  • Sub-continental/regional

Time scale of RS

  • Decades
  • Centuries

Reversibility

  • Irreversible (on 100 year time scale)

Evidence

  • Models
  • Contemporary observations
  • Experiments
  • Other

Confidence: Existence of RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement in the literature that the RS exists

Confidence: Mechanism underlying RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement on the underlying mechanism

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Booth, A. 2002. The Changing Role of Non-Farm Activities in Agricultural Households in Indonesia: Some Insights From the Agricultural Censuses. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies 38, 179-200.
  2. Janssen MA. 2007. Coordination in irrigation systems: An analysis of the Lansing–Kremer model of Bali. Agricultural Systems 93(1-3), 170–190.
  3. Lansing JS, Kremer JN, Gerhart V, Kremer P, Arthawiguna A, Surata SKP, Suryawan SIB, Arsana G, Scarborough VL, Schoenfelder J, Mikita K. 2001. Volcanic fertilization of Balinese rice paddies. Ecological Economics 38, 383–390.
  4. Lansing JS, Miller JH. 2005. Cooperation, games, and ecological feedback: Some insights from Bali. Current Anthropology 46(2), 328–334.
  5. Lansing JS. 1987. Lansing Balinese "Water Temples" and the management of irrigation. American Anthropologist 89, 326–341.
  6. Lansing JS. 1991. Priests and programmers: Technologies of power in the engineered landscape of Bali. Princeton University Press, Princeton.
  7. Lansing, JS, Downey SS, Jannsen M, Schoenfelder J. 2009. A Robust Budding Model of Balinese Water Temple Networks. World Archaeology 41(1), 112–133.
  8. Lietaer B, Meulenaere SD. 2003. Sustaining cultural vitality in a globalizing world: the Balinese example. International Journal of Social Economics 30, 967-984.
  9. Lorenzen RP, Lorenzen S. 2010. Changing realities, perspectives on Balinese rice cultivation. Human Ecology [http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10745-010-9345-z]
  10. Lorenzen S, Lorenzen RP. 2008. Institutionalizing the Informal: Irrigation and government intervention in Bali. Development 51, 77-82.
  11. Marion GS, Dunbar RB, Mucciarone DA, Kremer JN, Lansing JS, Arthawiguna A. 2005. Coral skeletal delta(15)N reveals isotopic traces of an agricultural revolution. Marine pollution bulletin 50, 931-44.
  12. Pesticide action network, Asia and the Pacific (PANAP). 2010. Rice country profile for Indonesia. http:// www.panap.net/en/r/post/rice/273
  13. Poffenberger M, Zurbuchen MS. 1980. The economics of village Bali: three perspectives. Economic development and cultural change 29(1),91-133.
  14. Roche F. 1994. The Technical and Price Efficiency of Fertiliser use in Irrigated Rice Production. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies 30, 59-83.
  15. Scarborough VL, Schoenfelder JW, Lansing JS. 1999. Early statecraft on Bali: the water temple complex and the decentralization of the political economy. Research in Economic Anthropology 20, 299-330.
  16. Scarborough VL, Schoenfelder JW, Lansing JS. 2000. Ancient water management and landscape transformation at Sebatu, Bali. Bulletin of the Indo-Pacific Prehistory Associaton 20, 79-92.
  17. Schmuki A. 2007. The Role of a Global Organization in Triggering Social Learning - Insights from a Case Study of a World Heritage Cultural Landscape Nomination in Bali. Governance An International Journal Of Policy And Administration.
  18. Schoenfelder JW. 2000. The co-evolution of agricultural and sociopolitical systems in Bali. IndoPacific Prehistory Association Bulletin 4, 35-46.

Citation

Caroline Schill, Ylva Ran, Daniel Ospina, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, -1. Balinese rice production. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2017-02-07 11:26:51 GMT.
Wednesday, 23 February 2011 22:19

Tropical lowland forests (economic use), Colombia

Written by Daniel

Tropical lowland forests (economic use), Colombia

Main Contributors:

Daniel Ospina

Other Contributors:

-1

Summary

This case is a ‘natural resource-use system’ of afro-descendant communities living in a collectively-own tropical forest territory, in the Chocó biogeographic region. This system flipped from a regime characterized by a diversified use of ecosystems, oriented mainly to subsistence and based on cooperative institutions (regime 1), to one centred on timber extraction, oriented mainly to the market and based of remunerated labour (regime 2). Regime 1 was in place for more than two centuries, not just for that population, but for virtually all the afrodescendant groups in de Colombian and Ecuadorian Pacific coast. However, in the last decades a change in the way these communities relate with the environment, as a result from the interventions from the State and big companies, has been documented. In this particular case, the shift seems to have occurred around the 1970s, after a series of biophysical and economic shocks that affected an already stressed system. One key driver was population growth, while two proposed external drivers of change were 1) the many social and production programmes designed by the national government that portrayed the local ways as inefficient and tried to replace them; and 2) the presence of big timber companies influencing a change in way ‘labour’ was viewed. The main feedback loop locking the system in this new regime is the one that links ‘timber extraction’, monetary income’ and ‘satisfaction of basic needs and desires’, and that now dominates over the one that links ‘agriculture’, ‘goods’ and ‘satisfaction of basic needs and desires’. This is further amplified by the almost complete disappearance of cooperative forms of labour, that where replaced by remunerated ones. The impact on the ecosystem is an increasing rate of timber extraction, and related with this, a change in the edapho-hydric conditions, that could in time lead to a change in the composition of these forests. Human well-being has been affected negatively as the current situation is of high dependence on timber prices and reduced food autonomy.

Type of regime shift

  • socio-economic

Ecosystem type

  • Marine & coastal
  • Tropical Forests

Land uses

  • Timber production

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Local/landscape (e.g. lake, catchment, community)

Continent or Ocean

  • South America

Region

  • Chocó biogeographic region

Countries

  • Colombia

Locate with Google Map

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Del Valle JI & Restrepo E. (eds) 1996. Renacientes del guandal. “grupos negros” de los ríos Satinga y Sanquianga. UN–PBP, Bogotá DC.
  2. Escobar A & Pedrosa A. (eds) 1996. Pacífico ¿desarrollo o diversidad? Estado, capital y movimientos sociales en el Pacífico colombiano. CEREC-Ecofondo, Bogotá DC.
  3. Leal C & Restrepo E. 2003. Unos bosques sembrados de aserríos: historia de la extracción maderera en el Pacífico colombiano. ICANH–UN–Universidad de Antioquia, Medellín.
  4. Proyecto Biopacífico. 1994. Economías de las comunidades rurales en el Pacífico colombiano (Memorias del foro Las economías rurales indígenas, negras y mestizas en el Pacífico colombiano, Sena-Codechoco-PBP, Octubre 19-21 de 1994, Quibdó). MMA-PNUD-GEF, Bogotá DC.
  5. West RC. 1957. The Pacific lowlands of Colombia: A negroid area of the American tropics. Louisiana State University Press, Baton Rough.
  6. Whitten NE Jr. 1986. Black Frontiersmen: Afro-Hispanic Culture of Ecuador and Colombia. Waveland Press, Prospect Heights.

Citation

Daniel Ospina, -1. Tropical lowland forests (economic use), Colombia. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2013-08-25 21:53:08 GMT.
Tuesday, 15 February 2011 11:54

Maradi Agro-ecosystem

Written by Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs

Maradi Agro-ecosystem

Main Contributors:

Johnny Musumbu Tshimpanga

Other Contributors:

Garry Peterson, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, Elin Enfors

Summary

Niger’s landscapes in general, particularly in Maradi have undergone a regime shift from a highly productive to a desert-dominated regime. The productive regime was maintained by land use characterized by scattered rural populations cultivating small fields amidst surrounding bush. Yields were sufficient and there were abundant supplies of forest products made possible by wet climatic conditions. The implementation of a new land law established the national government as the owner of all trees and provided disincentives for farmers to care for their land. This led to the exposure of soils to the Sahara winds resulting in erosion and accelerating desertification. This resulted in hunger and destitute among many people. Key institutional changes with regards to land tenure and tree growth were put in place along with simple soil and water conservation techniques, rock lining, improved versions of traditional planting pits or tasa, and demi-lunes which have reversed desertification. This process has reduced erosion and increased fertility and crop production, income, food security, and self-reliance to impoverished rural producers.

Type of regime shift

  • Desertification

Ecosystem type

  • Drylands & deserts (below ~500mm rainfall/year)

Land uses

  • Small-scale subsistence crop cultivation
  • Extensive livestock production (natural rangelands)

Spatial scale of the case study

  • Sub-continental/regional (e.g. southern Africa, Amazon basin)

Continent or Ocean

  • Africa

Region

  • Sahel

Countries

  • Niger

Locate with Google Map

Drivers

Key direct drivers

  • External inputs (eg fertilizers)

Land use

  • Urban
  • Small-scale subsistence crop cultivation
  • Large-scale commercial crop cultivation
  • Intensive livestock production (eg feedlots)
  • Extensive livestock production (rangelands)
  • Fisheries

Impacts

Key Ecosystem Processes

  • Primary production
  • Nutrient cycling

Biodiversity

  • Biodiversity

Provisioning services

  • Fisheries

Regulating services

  • Water purification

Cultural services

  • Recreation
  • Aesthetic values

Human Well-being

  • Food and nutrition
  • Health (eg toxins, disease)
  • Livelihoods and economic activity
  • Cultural, aesthetic and recreational values

Key Attributes

Spatial scale of RS

  • Sub-continental/regional

Time scale of RS

  • Decades
  • Centuries

Reversibility

  • Irreversible (on 100 year time scale)

Evidence

  • Models
  • Contemporary observations
  • Experiments
  • Other

Confidence: Existence of RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement in the literature that the RS exists

Confidence: Mechanism underlying RS

  • Well established – Wide agreement on the underlying mechanism

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Alternate regimes

The oligotrophic Baltic Sea ( - 1950s)

Before excessive nutrient input, the Baltic Sea was predominantly oligotrophic, clear-water sea with submerged vegetation and commercially preferred fish species, e.g. Baltic cod. The deep waters were oxygenated with generally large volumes of inflow water.

The complex postglacial history of the Baltic Sea caused variations in the scale of the hypoxia. Seafloor sediment studies have shown that the stagnation, anoxia and hydrogen sulphide production are natural phenomena to a certain extent: they took place during the periods when there was a long duration between pulses of oxygen rich saline water from the North Sea, but the areal extent was smaller than today.

The Baltic Sea food web models suggest that the fourth trophic level top predators (mammals, large fish, marine birds) controlled the abundance of small fish, and that herbivorous invertebrates controlled the abundance of primary producers.

The eutrophic Baltic Sea (circa 1950s – present)

The eutrophic Baltic Sea is characterized by increased sedimentation, increased turbidity, reduced transparency in water and increased algal mats. Anoxic areas have spread and a food web regime shift from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime has occurred. It is uncertain how much eutrophication affects the food web other than primary production and local changes caused by the dead zones.

Increased nutrient levels have led to altered nitrogen and phosphorus ratios, increased sedimentation rates and increased input of organic matter to the benthic system. This has in turn led to increased pelagic and benthic primary production, increased turbidity and reduced transparency in the water. Algal blooms can become very large and dense. Reduced oxygen reserves caused by the decomposition of organic matter together with increased occurrences of benthic sulphur bacteria cause dead zones. 

Drivers and causes of the regime shift

Increased anthropogenic nutrient load has been a major driving force behind the oxygen deficiency as it has increased algal production and hence sedimentation of organic matter. Extensive draining of wetlands and lakes has increased the proportion of nutrients that are transported to the Baltic Sea, and the speed with which water (and nutrients) run off the landscape into the Baltic.

The limited water exchange with the North Sea and the long residence time of water are the main reasons for the sensitivity of the Baltic Sea to eutrophication. Inflowing dense saline water replaces the old stagnant water in the deeps below the halocline. The displaced stagnant nutrient rich water is brought into the productive surface layer via upwelling (natural internal loading). Phosphorus loading accelerates eutrophication. Vertical stratification of water masses increases the vulnerability of the Baltic Sea to the eutrophication as it hinders or prevents ventilation and oxygenation of the bottom waters and sediments. Only a few Major Baltic Inflows (MBI), large volume inflows of high-salinity water, have been recognized since the mid-1970s. The lack of major inflows is believed to have resulted in a long-term stagnation. North Sea saltwater inflows are irregular and unpredictable. They are governed by large-scale and local meteorological variations and by sea level and salinity distributions. 

How the regime shift worked

Increased nutrient loading have changed the Baltic Sea from an oligotrophic low nutrient clear-water sea into a eutrophic higher nutrient, murky sea. The shallow depth, low salinity, and slow rate of water turnover due to limited water exchange with the North Sea make the Baltic Sea particularly susceptible to increases in nutrient concentrations leading to eutrophication, because nutrients discharged to the sea will remain in the basin for a long time. The Baltic Sea has large variances and gradients in topography, geology, hydrography and climate. Hence, the consequences of the eutrophication are different in different parts of the sea.

Excessive nutrients promote the growth of photosynthetic plants and algae. Abundant phytoplankton species generate excess photosynthetic production, which the Baltic Sea ecosystem is unable to process. Algal mats sink down to the seafloor and decompose, depleting the oxygen in the near bottom water layer. When the organic biomass decomposing conditions become anoxic, the decomposing bacteria acting on these conditions start to produce hydrogen sulphide, which is extremely toxic. Gradually the living conditions become intolerable for fish and the benthic fauna. Fish move away and benthic fauna dies in masses, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor. The increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes.

Salinity in the Baltic Sea is low with extreme vertical and horizontal gradients and a permanent halocline at about 50-70m in the Baltic proper. The permanent halocline decreases vertical mixing of the water column, causing the deep areas of the Baltic Proper below the halocline to often run out of oxygen. Inflows of saline water replenish the deep-water layers of the Baltic Sea with saline and well-oxygenated North Sea water. The occurrence of major inflows is driven by major storms in the North Sea pushing water into the Baltic Sea and is therefore irregular and unpredictable. Salinity levels determine species distribution in the several large, ecologically distinct sub-basins of The Baltic Sea. Eutrophication has affected the structure of the food web as top-down control has decreased. Deepwater anoxia in the spawning areas has reduced the cod stock. 

Impacts on ecosystem services and human well-being

Decrease in provisioning fisheries services can be seen in the declines of cod stock and in the cases of contaminated sea food. Cod has high commercial value for humans. Decline of cod has also in part caused a food web change from a cod-dominated to sprat-dominated regime (see case study: Pelagic food web, the Central Baltic Sea). Bladderwrack, which supports diverse faunal communities and is an important nursery environment for fish and many invertebrates, has suffered from the lack of light and declined. Regulative ecosystem services have been lost in water purification as the primary production has become too abundant for the Baltic Sea ecosystem to be able to process. Increase in phytoplankton leads to greater turbidity and thus decreased light penetration, which limits the habitat available for macrophytes. Anoxic areas and hydrogen sulphide production have increased due to decomposing biomass, resulting in large areas of dead zones in the sea floor.

Cultural services for water use and creation have been lost. Algal blooms have led to closed beaches, frequent public concerns, large cleanup costs, human health problems, lowered values of coastal properties, and loss of revenue from tourism and recreation. 

Management options

In 1974 some Baltic Sea countries began to acknowledge that eutrophication was an anthropogenic problem. Since the 1970s, the Helsinki Commission (HELCOM) has provided several recommendations for nutrient reductions. In the 1980s further attention was drawn to the load of nutrients entering the Baltic Sea and HELCOM started to work towards a 50% reduction target. In 1988 the ministers of the environment in the Baltic Sea countries signed a declaration stating that contracting parties were to reduce their emissions.

During the last few decades some of the Baltic Sea countries have managed to slow the increase of their nitrogen inputs and even reduce the inputs of phosphorus. During 1990-2000, the direct point-source inputs of phosphorus and nitrogen decreased by 68% and 60%. From 1990-2006 the total inputs to the Baltic Sea were reduced by 45% for phosphorus and 30% for nitrogen. Atmospheric nitrogen decreased since the mid-1990s and increased during 2003-2007. In 2005, the HELCOM launched the Baltic Sea Action Plan Plan. It is a cross-sectional, international program aiming to restore good ecological status of the Baltic marine environment by 2021. All major stakeholders are included and the measures can be taken at regional, national, European and global level. 

Key References

  1. Abdoulaye T. and G Ibro. 2006. Analyse des impacts socio-economiques des investissements dans la Gestion des Resources Naturelles: Etudes de Cas dans les Regions de Maradi, Tahoua, et Tillabery au Niger. Report part of Etudes Saheliennes, Papers presented at Conference of Study Results of Natural Resource Management Investments from 1980 to 2005 in Niger, Sept. 20-21. Comite Permanent Inter-Etats de lute Contre la Secgeresse Dans le Sahel. Online at http://www.frameweb.org/ev_en.php?ID=17812_201&ID_TOPIC
  2. Agnew CT. 1989. Spatial aspects of drought in the Sahel. Journal of Arid Environments 18, 279-293.
  3. Boubacar Y, M Larwanou, A Hassan, C Reij & International Resources group. 2005. Niger Study: Sahel Pilot Study Report. Washington, DC: United States Agency for International Development. Online at http://www.frameweb.org/ev_en.php?ID=13117_201&ID2=D0_TOPIC -Brough, Y., and Kimenyi. 2002. “Desertification” of the Sahel- Explorating the Role of property Rights. Bozeman, MT: Property and Environment Resource Center. Online at http://www.perc.org/.perc.php?id=142
  4. Dan Baria S. 1999. Evolution et Perspectives en Matiere de Gestion des Forets Naturelles au Niger: Quels Progres et quel avenir? Niamey: Conseil National de l’Environnement pour un Developpement Durable.
  5. Guéro C. & N. Dan Lamso. 2006. Les Projets de Restaurarion des Resources Naturelles et de la Fertilité des sols. Report part of Etudes Saheliennes, Papera presented at Conference of Study Results of Natural Resource Management Investments from 1980 t0 2005 in Niger, Sept.20-21. Comite permanent Inter-Etats de Lutte Contre la Secheresse Dans le Sahel. Online at http://www.frameweb.org/ev_en.php?ID=17817_201&ID2=DO-TOPIC
  6. Hulme M. 2001. Climatic perspectives on Sahelian dessication: 1973-1998. Global Environmental Change 11 (2001) 19-29.
  7. IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2007. Fourth Assessment Report: Working Group II Report on Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Geneva: IPCC. Online at http://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/ar4-wg2.htm
  8. McGahuey M. & Winterbottom. 2007 . Transformation Development in Niger. Power point. Jan. Online at http://www.frameweb.org/ev_en.php?ID=23670_201&ID2=DO-TOPIC
  9. McGhuey M. 2008. Environment and Natural Resource Management Advisor. USAID, Washington, DC. Personal Communication. Jan.14 and 16, Feb. 11 and 19: Roots of resilience : WR2008 report.
  10. Mortimore M. 1989. Adaptation to drought: Farmers, Famines, and Desertification in Western Africa. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  11. Polgreen, L. 2007. “In Niger, Trees and Crops Turn Back the Desert”. New York Times. Feb. 11.
  12. Reij C. 2006. More Success Stories in Africa’s Drylands than Often Assumed.Notes presented at forum sur la Souverainete Alimentaire, Niamey, Nov. 7-10. Niamey, Niger: Reseau des Organisations Paysannes et de producteurs Agricoles de l’Afrique de l’Ouest. Online at http://www.roppa.info/IMG/pdf/More_success_stories_in_Africa_Reij_Chris.pdf
  13. Reij C. 2008. Human Geographer, Center for International Cooperation, VU University Amsterdam. Personal communication. Feb. 17. Roots of Resilience WR 2008 report.
  14. Rinaudo T. 2005a. Uncovering the underground Forest: A short History and Description of Farmer Managed Natural Regenaration. Melbourne, Australia:World Vision. Online at http://www.frameweb.org/ev.php?ID=13091_201&ID2=DO-TOPIC
  15. Rinaudo T. 2007. Natural Resource Management Advisor, World vision Australia. Melbourne, Australia. Personal communication. Roots of Resilience WR 2008 report.
  16. Rowell DP. 1996. Response to comments by Sud and Lau: further analysis of simulated inter-decadal and inter-annual variability of summer rainfall over tropical North Africa. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 122, 1007- 1013.
  17. Steinberg D. 1988. Tree Planting for Soil Conservation: The Need for a Holistic and Flexible Approach. Enhancing Dryland Agriculture: LEISA Magazine, 4(4). Online at http://www.metafro.be/leisa/1988/4-4-20.pdf
  18. Sud YC, Lau WK. 1996. Comments on paper “Variability of summer rainfall over tropical North Africa (1906-1992): observations and modelling . Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society 122, 1001-1006.
  19. Tougiani A, C Guero & T Rinaudo. 2008. Success in Improving Livelihoods Through Tree Crop Management and Use in Niger. To be published in GeoJournal. The Netherlands: Springer Publishing. Page numbers cited from manuscript.
  20. USAID (United States Agency for International Development), Institutional Resources Group, Winrock International, and Harvard Institute for International Development. 2002. Environmental Policy Lessons Learned: Report No. 21. Environmental Policy and Institutional Strengthening Indefinite Quantity Contract (EPIQ). Washington, DC: USAID.
  21. Warren A. 1995. Changing understanding of African pastoralism and the nature of the environmental paradigms. Transactions of the Institute of British Geographers 20, 193-203.
  22. Wentling M. 2008. Niger- Annual Food Security Report: Current Situation and Future Prospects. Niamey, Niger: United States Agency for International Development Niger.
  23. Winterbottom R. 2007. Senoir Manager, Environment and Natural Resources Division. International Resources Group, Washington, DC. Personal Communication. December. Roots of Resilience WR 2008 report.
  24. Winterbottom R. 2008. Senior Manager, Environment and Natural Resources Division. International Resources Group, Washington, DC Personal Communication. March 11. Roots of Resilience: World Resources 2008 report.
  25. Xue Y. & Shukla J. 1998. Model simulation of the influence of global SST anomalies on Sahel rainfall. Monthly Weather Review 126, 2782-2792.

Citation

Johnny Musumbu Tshimpanga, Garry Peterson, Reinette (Oonsie) Biggs, Elin Enfors. Maradi Agro-ecosystem. In: Regime Shifts Database, www.regimeshifts.org. Last revised 2017-02-07 12:32:20 GMT.
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