Message

MS THESIS: The domino effect: A network analysis of regime shift drivers and causal pathways

Type of the Dataset

Publication

Brief description of the dataset or resource

The purpose of this paper is to perform an exploratory analysis of the causal interactions among global change drivers of regime shifts. Causal loops diagrams were used to collect a set of feedback mechanisms underlying abrupt change dynamics in 11 regime shifts. In order to prioritize drivers and to map out possible causal pathways we used network analysis. Agricultural processes, global warming, biodiversity loss, demographic and economic drivers are the main causes of regime shifts. Based on the analysis of 400 pathways, we intuitively suggest five types of cascading effects between regime shifts. Regime shifts dramatically affect the provision of ecosystem services and might undermine the achievement of the first Millennium Development Goal: reduction of hunger and poverty.

Area or region to which the resource applies

Global

Contact person & contact details

Juan Carlos Rocha
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Conditions of use & citation details

Rocha, JC. 2010. The domino effect: A network analysis of regime shift drivers and causal pathways. MSc thesis. Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Sweden.